Financial Investment Advice in Deflation And The Greater Depression
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(Video) Bob Prechter Explains 'Triple Top' Forming in U.S. Stock Market
This excerpt from the special video issue of the August Elliott Wave
Theorist brings you Bob Prechter’s analysis of the triple top
that has been forming in the U.S. stock market over the past 12 years.
Watch as Bob himself explains what this pattern means for you and the markets.
You can get even more analysis – including an 84-year
study of stock values – that will help you gain perspective
about the recent market moves with Elliott Wave International’s FREE
report, “Reality Check: Studying the Past to Bring
Clarity to the Future.”
You’ll get a glimpse into the in-depth analysis Robert Prechter presents
each month in his Elliott Wave Theorist with 3 excerpts from
his most recent issues.
Don’t let extreme market volatility leave you confused and scared. Prepare
yourself for today’s critical market juncture with your FREE report from
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Financial Investment Advice: Are We Set Up for a Perfect Storm
FINANCIAL INVESTMENT ADVICE
Financial Investment Advice for Deflation and Your Greater Depression
By Delwyn Lounsbury - THE DEFLATION GURU
Financial Investment Advice - One out of five of you Americans are unemployed or underemployed. One out of 4 homeowners is underwater on their mortgage - 11,100,000. Core inflation in October 2010 slowed to a record .6% (Data back to 1957). The desperate Federal Reserve plan to inject $600 billion with $75 billion per month liquidity pumping (QE2) got the rest of the world mad at the U.S. The .6% figure is still technically "disinflation," but the specter of actual deflation and an uncontrolled downward spiral in prices now looms large.
Financial Investment Advice Update gleaned from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave International publications.
Stocks - Secular Bear Market-Five wave up (B) fools rally almost done!
There is a 7.25 year cycle in our economy that will keep peoples mood somewhat positive until 2012. Then, Prechter says the deflationary crash will begin big time and last until 2016-2018. He expects a 90 percent drop in most assets and a 30 percent unemployment rate. He says the price of gold may even drop in half in the Greater Depression
Stocks - bearish down sloping neckline of a 13 year head & shoulders top a grand super-
cycle top. Now (middle of 2011) waved out in an Elliott Wave 5 wave climax of a
wave B up (fools rally) of a secular bear market rally cycle. Go short per Robert
Prechter!
Silver - at $49.91 an ounce top so far reversed hard nine cents below the 1980's high of
$50 this is a non-confirmation as gold made a new high near. Silver was down 30%
in just 3 days recently.
Gold - $1,912 - Had five waves up and even a throw-over which is a rise above the long term trend line made by connecting tops in a straight line. A sell signal! The gold stock index XAU is dropping in a non-confirmation – losing momentum.
CRB - commodities - bounce ending – CRB (Commodity Research
Bureau) index is in a long term down trend. The CRB hit 362.86 (.618 golden number) then reversed down recently
Oil - rally almost over - extended - bullish consensus at 90% - medium term top?
U.S. Dollar - Only bull market - Correction ending in dollar -
US & AAA corporate bonds may survive but will lose value if interest rates rise down the road. People are rushing into junk bonds at wrong time. The 30 year mortgage rate rising off a record 4.17% low to 5% but is now due for a short term trip back down to the lows per Prechter. (Rates may work lower) It is dangerous to buy bonds at these low interest rates because bonds book capital losses as interest rates rise. There are ways to hedge against loss on your bond portfolio with short bond ETFs & options & futures contracts. Contact your broker.
"All The Same Market" Stocks, bonds, gold, foreign currencies and other commodities prices have been moving in tandem for several years with the US dollar going opposite. This is all changing direction per Robert Prechter
“The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International's market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle.
While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such applications of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long term success in trading or investing demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.”
"Here's some fundamental logic that no one is using: When the credit crunch resumes, banks will accelerate their already mad rush to get cash - not pork bellies, not property, not stocks, not gold but cash. The only way they can get cash is if their debtors sell something, or they sell it for them. And when the banks finally fail, everyone will be desperate for cash. Accumulate as much as you can now, before the rush."
By Robert Prechter 11/10/2010
Hurry! No time left! Cash is King. Be Prepared! Get more financial investment advice by joining Club EWI at links on this site. Financial investment advice from Robert Prechter the dean of Elliott wave principle investing! He wrote the book!
Copyright 2011 by Delwyn Lounsbury – THE DEFLATION GURU
Use of this article allowed with attribution back to:
http://www.deflationeconomy.com
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The GREATER DEFLATION is approaching quickly!
We need to get the word out or else we will all be seeing each other down at the soup line.