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An Incredibly Simple, Rarely Used Way to Book 170% Gains

By Dan Steinhart

Editor’s note: You’ll find a very important theme running through the Dispatch over the next five days…

We’re going to discuss the secrets of Casey Research founder Doug Casey’s wildly successful investment strategy…one that has made him tens of millions of dollars in the markets. For each of the next five days, you’ll receive an essay about how this strategy can potentially add tens of thousands of dollars a year to your investment returns…


It's one of the most valuable ideas in finance…

This idea is simple and extremely powerful. It forms the basis of a highly profitable stock-picking system…one that consistently beats the market during both bull and bear markets…with a 104-year track record to prove it.

The system doesn’t give “buy signals” often. But when it does, the results are incredible. Used correctly, you can expect average gains of 30% in one year and 120%-170% in three years.

• Before I tell you about this idea, you should understand one thing…

Most people aren't cut out for this type of investing.

As I mentioned, this idea is profitable…simple to understand…and easy to execute.

However, it has a downside. It forces you to go against the crowd.

That’s the reason why, despite its long-term track record of producing big profits, less than 1 in 10,000 people use it.

To follow this strategy, you must be willing to “hold your nose” and buy stocks that look like “dead money” to folks who don’t understand this idea. Stocks that CNBC and other mainstream media outlets have brainwashed the public into hating.

Used correctly, this strategy will make you money. But it may result in moments of uncomfortableness. Folks at a cocktail party may drift away from you when you admit you own these stocks. If your stock broker doesn’t understand this idea, he might think you’ve lost your mind.

If you can’t handle the uncomfortableness, this strategy isn’t for you.

But if you’re OK with all those things, read on. Think of them as the “costs” of making superior returns in the stock market.

• This idea is based on a financial anomaly called “mean reversion”…

If you're not familiar with this term, it simply means that a stock will eventually move back to its average price.

Most investors know stocks don’t go up forever. When the dot-com bubble crashed after spiking an incredible 238% in less than two years, that was mean reversion. When the U.S. stock market crashed in 1929 after the “Roaring 20s” pushed it to crazy heights, that was mean reversion.

But this idea doesn’t require you to short (bet against) anything. Mean reversion works in the other direction, too. Just like stocks can’t rise forever, it’s equally true that they can't fall forever.

Sometimes a stock market gets so cheap…so hated…and drops so far in price…that it’s virtually guaranteed to bounce back strong.

This system identifies those stocks for you. And the data proves, without a doubt, that buying stocks poised to “mean revert” is a very profitable strategy.

• To follow this idea, look for stocks with this rare attribute…

Look for stock markets, industries, and sectors that have declined three years in a row.

Keep in mind, these situations are rare. Three consecutive years of lower prices almost never happens. According to a study by our friend Meb Faber, those instances occurred less than 3% of the time from 1903 to 2007.

Meb's a brilliant researcher and one of the few truly original thinkers in finance.

To test the performance of a “mean reversion” strategy, he studied both whole countries (with an investable stock market) and asset classes (types of investments) to determine if they showed any patterns.

As I mentioned, markets almost never fell three years in a row. But when they did, the following bull market was extremely powerful.

The average return in stocks for whole countries during the fourth year was more than 30%.

That's an incredible result, something that wouldn't happen by chance. This big move higher is caused by reversion to the mean, not chance.

When Meb studied asset classes, he found similar numbers… After three years in a row of falling stock prices, the average return in the fourth year was 34%, almost three times higher than the average return of all the years in the study.

Again, statistical analysis tells us these are significant results, not just chance.

They're proof of mean reversion in stock prices. Buying assets that are down three years in a row is a powerful market strategy.

• And Meb found a way to make the results even better…

Meb also researched the idea that mean reversion would lead to even more powerful stock rallies when the previous destruction of value was the greatest.

He studied countries with stock markets that declined by 80% or more.

On average, these countries saw their indexes rebound by nearly 120% in the three years that followed.

And that's not all…

Meb found the same type of huge rebounds in different industry groups, too.

He studied U.S. industry groups going back to the 1920s.

When a U.S. industry group fell by 80% or more from a peak, the average return three years later was more than 170%.

These statistics are amazing…and proof that investing in depressed markets leads to gigantic returns.

It’s common sense really. When investors get extremely frustrated with an asset class, they abandon it. Prices decline to absurdly cheap levels. And just like the cycle of day and night, extreme bear market turns into extreme bull market.

• To recap…

Remember, this strategy boils down to one simple idea: Look for markets, industry groups, and sectors that have fallen for three years in a row. Buy them. Big average gains will follow.

And to increase your returns even more, look for markets, industry groups, and sectors that have lost 80% or more of their value from a peak. These situations are rare…you won’t find them often. But 104 years of data shows that when they do occur, you can make average gains of 120%-170%.

It’s a wonderfully simple—and profitable—strategy that most investors are too afraid to try. But as you can see, when used correctly, it's a great way to book huge gains.

• This strategy will sound familiar to longtime readers of Doug Casey…

As you may know, Doug wrote New York Times #1 bestseller, Crisis Investing. Many experts consider it to be one of the best investing books of all time. Legendary stock picker Sir John Templeton was known to keep a copy on his bookshelf.

At the core of Crisis Investing is a powerful idea. By investing intelligently in extremely cheap markets and sectors, you can make huge investment returns.

Although Meb’s data wasn’t available to Doug when Doug wrote this book in 1979, it proves that Doug’s strategy not only works…but is one of the most powerful secrets in all of investing.

Using this strategy, Doug has amassed a literal fortune…more wealth than the average person can spend in 20 lifetimes. He once made a 64,000% gain (not a typo) buying into what would become the world’s richest nickel and copper mine. Another time he made 1,000%+ gains investing in a small Alaskan mining business.

That’s why we’re excited to announce, for the first time ever, Doug is revealing the exact secrets behind his strategy during a free online training event.

You can sign up for the four-day event right here. In short, Doug and his team will give attendees “basic training” on how to make money using his highly successful method. And you’ll learn the specific areas of the market with huge upside and limited downside that Doug likes today.

And best of all, you don’t have to have millions of dollars or run a hedge fund to use this strategy. You only need a few thousand dollars and an ordinary brokerage account with a company like E-Trade, TD Ameritrade, or Scottrade.

Again, this training is 100% free. Click here to sign up.


Austrian Economics = Real Economics

Obama Law License Controversy




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Obama Law License

IS THERE IS NO END TO THE OBAMA LAW LICENSE ROTTENNESS - WE KEEP FINDING STUFF OUT ABOUT BOTH OBAMA'S THAT THE LIBERAL NEWS MEDIA REFUSES TO DISCLOSE.

From a former intelligence officer...jan@collmer.com

I checked this out and Barry lost his law licence for lying about drug use (among other things) on his application

Michelle Baby lost hers in 1991: Michelle Obama tried to extort some Sidley clients and lost her law license.

Ms. Obama entered Mayor Richard Daley's Office, courtesy of the Marxist Valerie Jarrett daughter in law of Vernon Jarrett the bosom friend of Frank Marshall Davis, the Marxist pedophile mentor of Barry Soetoro (1970-1978).

It is verified and Truth or Fiction shields them just as the legal website intended when they voluntarily gave up their licenses to keep out of the public record.

I knew they had both lost their law license, but I didn't know why until I read this.

This is legit. I checked it out myself at https://www.iardc.org . Stands for Illinois Attorney Registration And Disciplinary Committee. It's the official arm of lawyer discipline in Illinois; and they are very strict and mean as hell. (Talk about irony.) Even I, at the advanced age of almost 65, maintain (at the cost of approximately $600/year) my law license that I worked so hard and long to earn. Big surprise.

Former Constitutional Law Lecturer and U.S. President Makes Up Constitutional Quotes During State Of The Union (SOTU) Address.

Consider this:

1. President Barack Obama, former editor of the Harvard Law Review, is no longer a "lawyer". He surrendered his license back in 2008 in order to escape charges he lied on his bar application. A "Voluntary Surrender" is not something where you decide "Gee, a license is not really something I need anymore, is it?" and forget to renew your license. No, a "Voluntary Surrender" is something you do when you've been accused of something, and you 'voluntarily surrender" your license five seconds before the state suspends you.

2 Michelle Obama "voluntarily surrendered" her law license in 1993. after a Federal Judge gave her the choice between surrendering her license or standing trial for Insurance fraud!

3. So, we have the first black President and First Lady - who don't actually have licenses to practice law. Facts. Source: http://jdlong.wordpress.com/2009/05/15/pres-barack-obama-editor-of-the-Harvard-law-review-has-no-law-license/

4. A senior lecturer is one thing, a fully ranked law professor is another. Barack Obama was NOT a Constitutional Law Professor at the University of Chicago.

5. The University of Chicago released a statement in March 2008 saying Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) "served as a professor" in the law school-but that is a title Obama, who taught courses there part-time, never held, a spokesman for the school confirmed in 2008.

6. "He did not hold the title of Professor of Law," said Marsha Ferziger Nagorsky, an Assistant Dean for Communications and Lecturer in Law at the University of Chicago School of Law. Source:http://blogs.suntimes.com/sweet/2008/03/sweet_obama_did_hold_the_title.html

7. The former Constitutional Senior Lecturer (Obama) cited the U.S. Constitution the other night during his State of the Union Address. Unfortunately, the quote he cited was from the Declaration of Independence ... not the Constitution.

8. The B-Cast posted the video: http://www.breitbart.tv/did-obama-confuse-the-constitution-with-the-declaration-of-independence/

9. Free Republic: In the State of the Union Address, President Obama said: "We find unity in our incredible diversity, drawing on the promise enshrined in our Constitution: the notion that we are all created equal.

10. Um, wrong citing, wrong founding document there Champ, I mean Mr. President. By the way, the promises are not a notion, our founders named them unalienable rights. The document is our Declaration of Independence and it reads:

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.

11. And this is the same guy who lectured the Supreme Court moments later in the same speech?

When you are a phony it's hard to keep facts straight.

Keep this moving -- educate others about the Obama law license controversy.

COMMENTS ABOUT THE OBAMA GRIFTERS, SCAMMERS AND OBAMA LAW LICENSE CONTROVERSY -  

Comments - see - Share Your Comments - below

Delwyn Lounsbury - THE DEFLATION GURU

http://www.deflationeconomy.com/obama-law-license.html

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I am an Eagle Scout who is loyal, truthful, honest and trustworthy to you. “Be Prepared” is the Boy Scout motto. Isn't it?

You can learn more about the planned Hitler-like one-world government dictatorship - a 100 year old insidious takeover plot by inter-generational central banking elite - at my sister site www.one-world-government.org Hurry your and the worlds survival is at risk!


Obama Law License - continued

Pres. Barack Obama – Editor of the Harvard Law Review – Has No Law License???

May 15, 2009 by Johnny Alamo

I saw a note slide across the #TCOT feed on Twitter last night that mentioned Michelle Obama had no law license. This struck me as odd, since (a) she went to school to be a lawyer, and (b) she just recently held a position with the University of Chicago Hospitals as legal counsel — and that’s a pretty hard job to qualify for without a law license.

But being a licensed professional myself, I knew that every state not only requires licensure, they make it possible to check online the status of any licensed professional. So I did, and here’s the results from the ARDC Website:

She “voluntarily surrendered” her license in 1993. Let me explain what that means. A “Voluntary Surrender” is not something where you decide “Gee, a license is not really something I need anymore, is it?” and forget to renew your license. No, a “Voluntary Surrender” is something you do when you’ve been accused of something, and you ‘voluntarily surrender” your license about five seconds before the state suspends (or disbars) you.

I tried looking up why she would “Voluntarily surrender” her license, but Illinois does not have it’s 1993 records online.

But when I searched for “Obama”, I found this:

“Voluntarily retired” — what does that mean? Bill Clinton hung onto his law license until he was convicted of making a false statement in the Monica Lewinsky case and had to “Voluntarily Surrender” his license too.

This is the former editor of the Harvard Law Review who doesn’t seem to give a crap about his law license.

Something else odd; while the Search feature brings up the names, any searches for the Disciplinary actions ends quickly.

As in, Too Quickly. Less than a half-second quickly on a Search Engine that can take five seconds to Search for anything.

As in, “there’s a block on that information” kind of thing.

So we have the first Lawyer President and First Lady — who don’t actually have licenses to practice law.

There’s more to this story, I’m sure. I’ll let you know when I find it.

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This site may contain copyrighted material the use of which has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright owner.. www.deflationeconomy.com (“the site”) is making such material available in an effort to further understanding of political, social, economic, and scientific issues, etc. The site asserts this constitutes a ‘fair use’ of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, the material on this site is distributed without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for research and educational purposes. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtmlIf you wish to use copyrighted material from this site for purposes of your own that go beyond ‘fair use’, you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.

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WHY PRESIDENT JOHNSON,
J. EDGAR HOOVER,
THE CIA, MASSOD, MAFIA, BANKSTERS
 ALL  ZIONISTS
*
 KILLED PRESIDENT KENNEDY IN A FASCIST COUP TO FURTHER
ONE WORLD GOVERNMENT BY SOCIALIST DICTATORSHIP
*
PS
 MAINSTREAM MEDIA, HOLLYWOOD AND BOTH POLITICAL PARTIES ARE  NOW ZIONIST  

JFK CONSPIRACY SPEECH - REASON PRESIDENT JOHNSON AND HEAD OF FBI - J. EDGAR HOOVER DO COVERT COUP KILLING PRESIDENT JOHN F KENNEDY.

THEN IN BANKSTER SECRET SUBVERSION SABOTAGE SCHEME - THEY HAVE JACK RUBY - (RUBENSTEIN - ZIONIST MAFIA) - CLEAN UP AND ASSASSINATE PATSY LEE HARVEY OSWALD

By JFK 1961

"The very word "secrecy" is repugnant in a free and open society; and we are as a people inherently and historically opposed to secret societies, to secret oaths and secret proceedings.

We decided long ago that the dangers of excessive and unwarranted concealment of pertinent facts far outweighed the dangers which are cited to justify it. Even today, there is little value in opposing the threat of a closed society by imitating its arbitrary restrictions.

Even today, there is little value in insuring the survival of our nation if our traditions do not survive with it. And there is very grave danger that an announced need for increased security will be seized upon those anxious to expand its meaning to the very limits of official censorship and concealment.

That I do not intend to permit to the extent that it is in my control.

And no official of my Administration, whether his rank is high or low, civilian or military, should interpret my words here tonight as an excuse to censor the news, to stifle dissent, to cover up our mistakes or to withhold from the press and the public the facts they deserve to know."

For we are opposed around the world by a monolithic and ruthless conspiracy that relies on covert means for expanding its sphere of influence--on infiltration instead of invasion, on subversion instead of elections, on intimidation instead of free choice, on guerrillas by night instead of armies by day.

It is a system which has conscripted vast human and material resources into the building of a tightly knit, highly efficient machine that combines military, diplomatic, intelligence, economic, scientific and political operations.

Its preparations are concealed, not published. Its mistakes are buried not headlined. Its dissenters are silenced, not praised. No expenditure is questioned, no rumor is printed, no secret is revealed."

"No President should fear public scrutiny of his program. For from that scrutiny comes understanding; and from that understanding comes support or opposition. And both are necessary.

I am not asking your newspapers to support the Administration, but I am asking your help in the tremendous task of informing and alerting the American people. For I have complete confidence in the response and dedication of our citizens whenever they are fully informed.

I not only could not stifle controversy among your readers-- I welcome it.

This Administration intends to be candid about its errors; for as a wise man once said: "An error does not become a mistake until you refuse to correct it." We intend to accept full responsibility for our errors; and we expect you to point them out when we miss them.

Without debate, without criticism, no Administration and no country can succeed-- and no republic can survive.

That is why the Athenian lawmaker Solon decreed it a crime for any citizen to shrink from controversy.

And that is why our press was protected by the First Amendment-- the only business in America specifically protected by the Constitution-- not primarily to amuse and entertain, not to emphasize the trivial and sentimental, not to simply "give the public what it wants"--but to inform, to arouse, to reflect, to state our dangers and our opportunities, to indicate our crises and our choices, to lead, mold,  educate and sometimes even anger public opinion.

This means greater coverage and analysis of international news-- for it is no longer far away and foreign but close at hand and local. It means greater attention to improved understanding of the news as well as improved transmission. And it means, finally, that government at all levels, must meet its obligation to provide you with the fullest possible information outside the narrowest limits of national security...

And so it is to the printing press--to the recorder of mans deeds, the keeper of his conscience, the courier of his news-- that we look for strength and assistance, confident that with your help man will
be what he was born to be: free and independent."

By John F. Kennedy 1961

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Obama Press Release Image Courtesy www.Breitbart.com

*****

(PROOF OBAMA WAS BORN IN KENYA, AFRICA)

Note* Barack Hussein Obama never wrote the book advertised here in a 1991 publishers promotional pamphlet put out by his literary agency, Acton & Dystel, of a coming Obama book for sale, "Images in Black and White."

Instead, Obama wrote (some say communist Bill Ayers actually wrote) "Dreams from My Father" an autobiography with a socialist slant depicting his communist father as an anticolonialist blaming the west for all the world's ills.

That is where lawless Obama's rogue renegade radical leftist transforming change ideas came from. Obama's upbringing came from communist family members (father and both grandparents on his mothers side), socialist mother and friends. In fact, Obama's mentor and tutor. Frank Marshal Davis, was on the FBI communist watch list - member of Communist Party USA (CPUSA) card number 47544. Then came Marxist groups in college and finally socialist groups like the New Party in Chicago where he was a community organizer (communizer).

See actual brochure from his publicist stating Barack Hussein Obama was born in Kenya, Africa - above.

His "Hope and Change" campaign slogan has morphed into WE HOPE HE CHANGES. Narcissist Obama showed himself to be an ideologue and a fascist dictator puppet and mole for the criminal Anglo American financial power elite international central banking families. This criminal cabal run by the Zioniist Rothschild and Rockefeller family cabal cartel control all the central (sovereign) banks of the world and wants one world government/new world order aka new underworld order control goal of global socialist fascist dictatorship at any cost or means.

Deflation in the Greater Depression, which actually began with the year 2000 dot com bust, along with the plight of most American citizens worsened under his statist agenda. Obama's legacy will be trillions of wasted stimulus spending, grotesque government growth and over 1,000 dictatorial executive orders - many unconstitutional - most illegal - all  socialist and/or communist.

Working for his elite Rothschild handlers, Obama has led us to the brink of economic collapse and planned coup by Zionist bankster oligarchs who already control both political parties in America..

A phony Iran, Syrian and Ukrainian war leading to a phony World War Three threatening the very survival of mankind is next if we don't stop the insanity. Watch out for false flag nuclear explosions in the Ukraine and Iran.

The American, NATO and Israel elite scheme is to get the people so confused and demoralized that they can abscond with the last of the world's middle classes power, freedom and money in the coming Greatest Depression.

THINK:   BIG BROTHER AND THE MAFIA JOIN UP!

The BANKSTER elite want a fascist socialist one world government dictatorship.

It's all about control of you and I. Pure Tyranny!