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What is Deflation? How To Survive The Greater Depression

What is Deflation? How to survive the Greater Depression. Please scroll down to the What is Deflation article.

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What is Deflation? Are We Set Up for a Perfect Storm?


What Is Deflation

WHAT IS DEFLATION

What Is Deflation? It is the Greater Depression!

By Delwyn Lounsbury - THE DEFLATION GURU

What is Deflation? Are we going to have inflation or deflation? President Obama's rhetoric and actions bashing business continues even when the statistics show the deflation economy getting worse at every turn. The 9.0% unemployment rate does not include those that quit looking, went back to school, moved back in with mom and dad or started a business. It sure does not include the businesses that have gone belly up and the rest of us who are seeing our income from sales and commissions drop.

What is deflation? It is when business people's mood gets more uncertain and unsure. They stop hiring and begin laying off workers. This means fewer people able to buy the goods and services prices start dropping. The GREATER DEPRESSION actually started in year 2000 with the dot-com stock climax. The deflation cycle may not end until 2016 to 2018. At that time most assets may have lost 90% in price and unemployment could be 30%. Even gold may be down 50% from today's lofty price of $1,400 per ounce. This is according to Robert Prechter, President of Elliot Wave International investment services. You can get a free 90 page download "Deflation Guidebook" at my website.

One in seven Americans are considered under the poverty level. That's 14% of the population or 44 million people. Real estate foreclosures were 1 million in 2010. The 2011 figure is expected to be 1.2 million. 275+ banks have closed. This is the most since the 1930's. Net worth - the total of Americans assets - homes and investments minus debts fell 2.7 per cent or $1.5 trillion in the second quarter of 2010 according to the Federal Reserve. The total is now $58.5 trillion with a low of $48.8 in the first quarter of 2009 and an all time high of $65.8 trillion. Finally, 41 million people are now on food stamps. That is up 45 percent since 2008 when President Obama took office. Some 22.5 million Americans are now employed in government jobs. It is like a large parasite is sucking all the energy out of the economy. Ever since Franklin Delano Roosevelt started the socialistic "New Deal," government has grown larger and larger. If we are 10 years into the Greater Depression as Robert Prechter and I contend, this bloated government structure will make the depression worse. Free enterprise and lower taxes letting business have the wherewithal to hire and expand is the only solution.

Nikolai Kondratiev, 1892-1938, discovered that capitalist countries go through a long wave cycle of 60 to 80 years. A cycle similar to the phases of nature with spring (inflation), summer (stagflation), autumn (deflation or disinflation) and finally winter (depression). He paid his life for that discovery as Joseph Stalin had poor Kondratiev executed by firing squad in 1938. The Kondratiev winter started in 2000, according to Robert Prechter.

Just look at a 10 year chart of the NASDQ stock market, QQQQ or TII, a fund (ETF) of 75 major companies. The graph shows only a bear market rally. These indexes never got back to the 2000 level.

"A deflationary crash is characterized in part by a persistent, sustained, deep general decline in peoples' desire and ability to lend and borrow. A depression is characterized in part by a persistent, sustained, deep, general decline in production. Since a decline in production reduces debtors' means to repay and service debt, a depression supports deflation. Since a decline in credit reduces new investment in economic activity, deflation supports depression. Because both credit and production support prices for investment assets, their prices fall in a deflationary depression. As asset prices fall, people lose wealth, which reduces their ability to offer credit, service debt and support production. The mix of forces is self-reinforcing." That's what Robert Prechter's book, “CONQUER THE CRASH” (2002) says.

"Helicopter" Ben Bernake, head of the Federal Reserve (a monopoly cartel) wants more stimulus money thrown at the problem. All the bailouts and government spending done so far have not turned the economy around, has it?. Better to reduce taxes and let businesses make the new jobs. Don't do what Franklin Roosevelt did. Make up government paid jobs that disappeared when the project was finished and prolonged the end of the 1930's depression. President Obama admitted last week that there was no such thing as a "shovel ready job."

Barack Hussein Obama Junior is apparently carrying out his African father’s socialist dreams according to Dinesh D'Souza, author of a new book, “Roots of Obama's Rage” 2010. It's like some kind of anticolonial nightmare in which the big bad U.S. has to pay for stealing everything the third world ever had by raising everyone's taxes to the moon. Obama's dream quest is to right all colonial and imperial wrongs and rip offs of the last 2 centuries in just 4 years. Obama is out of control with his wealth redistribution, increased taxes, socialism, business bashing and growth in the size of government. We are being governed by the socialist anticolonial ghost of Africa past. Is this guy even a citizen? Let's see his real birth certificate. President Obama's self-written autobiography is titled, “DREAMS FROM MY FATHER”, so don't try and tell me otherwise. Note it is titled Dreams "from" my father not "of" my father. Obama Junior is writing about and acting on dreams he received from his Kenyan socialist father??? And we suffer the consequences???

Those of you who voted for Barack Hussein Obama for president may have a big dose of buyers remorse over his super cycle scale ambition of ruining America, it's Constitution and it's FREEDOMS. We have a president in office that hates the United States and hates business in general. Business people are rightly afraid and have gone on the defensive. Unfortunately, this means they have slowed their expansion and hiring plans. Right when the economy needs help the most.

The takeover of America by a coalition of big business and government is Webster's definition of fascism. Fascism and Socialism never work. Too many on the dole kills the free enterprise spirit of the rest. What about later when President Obama really goes to work on a one-world-government and new-world-order "Big Brother" society? Why did President Obama get the Nobel Peace Prize and the one million dollars that comes with it? He hadn't done anything to deserve it. Was it an up front mafia like contract payment from the world power elite for one-world-government wet work to be done later? Be very afraid of the IMF (International Monetary Fund). They the World Bank, the UN or possibly a new yet to be formed "Cap and Trade" world organization may become "Big Brother." You then loose your LIBERTY and will be told what to do and what to think cradle to grave.

What is deflation? It is a vicious cycle of lower and lower prices of just about everything like a snowball rolling down the hill getting bigger and bigger. More unemployment begets more unemployment as the multiplier effect goes into reverse. Hopefully government will have less revenue and become smaller. Yes, I'm a libertarian. I am for small government. Contract out most of the stupid greedy gorging spendthrift government to the lowest bidder - but have an army for protection and a police force.

The financial power elite are the one thousand families in the world that we all owe money since they own the 110 or so central banks. They are the creditors that make money out of thin air. Fiat Money - or money with no backing by gold. We are their serfs - their pawns. There won't be any big inflation. Why would they want the value of what you and I owe them to decrease? Why do you think the 1930's depression happened? The bankers back then saw that with 10% inflation some years in the Roaring Twenties their money would be worthless in 10 years time. They clamped down. The same thing is happening now. The financial power elite will just get richer because they know deflation is coming and the value of their cash will be going up. Then in 2016 or so they will buy back the assets that have dropped 90% from peak. You should do the same.

Our only real chance is if gold becomes money again. Private gold money would at least be honest and prevent a future (10 to 15 years from now) runaway inflation. First get Prepared for the GREATER DEPRESSION before it is too late! This time if you don't have the darn fiat paper money stashed safely and where you can get at it quickly or you and your family will be toast.

The deflation economics cycle started with the 2000 dot com stock mania bubble climax peak may not end until 2016 to 2018. At that time most of your assets may have lost 90% in price and unemployment could be 30%. Even the price of gold may drop in half. CASH IS KING in deflation. Japan has seen deflation for 20 years and now the rest of the world is catching the epidemic. You cannot stop the pendulum from swinging. Deflation economics will continue until the inflation is wrung out of the system in this Greater Depression.

What is deflation? It is the cure for over 80 years of inflation caused by a socialistic government that constantly grew in size with fraudulent fiat money, huge borrowing and spending along with increased tax rates on it's citizens. Many new rules and regulation along with loss of liberty and freedom was the result. At close to 30 percent of the economy government's bloated size is now top heavy and the economy is crashing in the Greater Depression which promises to be three times as large and three times as long as the depression of the 1930's.

What is Deflation? It is they only cure for inflation. Credit inflations like we have had always end in a credit deflation bust and CRASH. Austrian economics tells us this is true.

Copyright 2011 by Delwyn Lounsbury - THE DEFLATION GURU Reprint rights allowed with attribution back to: http://www.deflationeconomy.com


WHAT IS DEFLATION

The following is from Elliott Wave International. Join Free Now!

Quadrillion Dollar Debt: 'Day of Reckoning' Looms What Will Happen as $1,000,000,000,000,000 in Global Debt Winds Down? July 22, 2010 By Elliott Wave International The biggest balloon in the world is deflating.

This balloon had been inflated with a quadrillion (1015) dollars, which is to say: This balloon was filled not with air but with debt from around the globe.

What will happen as this global debt winds down? In two words: Deflationary Depression -- the likes of which could be unprecedented in history.

Want to Know How to Prosper in a Deflationary Depression? If you haven't yet given Robert Prechter's deflation argument your full attention, you should know now that yesterday was the best time to do so. Download Prechter's 90-Page Guide to Understanding Deflation here.

A thousand trillion in debt can't be wished away or swept under the rug. No one can "forgive" the debt. The consequences of unwinding this debt could be as massive as the dollar figure itself.

We've heard plenty about the debt problems of Greece, Spain, Portugal and Italy.

But how about the world's second largest economy? Consider this fact reported in the Japan Times (July 8):

"Japan's government debts are the highest the world has ever seen, at 219 percent of gross domestic product, according to the International Monetary Fund."

Then there's the world's sixth largest national economy. In January 2009, Robert Prechter wrote this in the Elliott Wave Theorist:

"British banks have amassed $4.4 trillion worth of foreign liabilities, twice Britain's annual GDP. ... England, moreover, 'has not defaulted since the Middle Ages.' The possibility that it may do so again is yet another indication that the bear market is of ... (larger) degree, exactly as Elliott wave analysts have predicted all along."

Remember, Japan and Great Britain are major world economies. Imagine what the debt totals would look like in a line-item analysis of other nations, regions, states, provinces and municipalities around the world, including the U.S.

De-leveraging will likely lead to a deflationary crash -- a "day of reckoning."

What is deflation?

How can you prepare for a deflationary crash?

To start with, keep your money safe. As Bob Prechter mentions in the June 2010 Elliott Wave Theorist:

"Investors should be primarily in greenback cash and Treasury bills."

He also describes holdings which should be strictly avoided.

Want to Know How to Prosper in a Deflationary Depression? If you haven't yet given Robert Prechter's deflation argument your full attention, you should know now that yesterday was the best time to do so. Download Prechter's 90-Page FREE DOWNLOAD - What Is Deflation? eBook - here.

This article, Quadrillion Dollar Debt: 'Day of Reckoning' Looms,was syndicated by Elliott Wave International. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts lead by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.


Elliott Wave International Reveals Why Deflation is Past the Point of No Return

Robert Prechter warns deflation is imminent. His new Deflation Survival Guide reveals the truth about the inflation versus deflation debate. This just-released, free 90-page report outlines the real threat to your investments to help you prepare for and prosper during the coming deflationary depression.

Gainesville, GA, October 13, 2010 --(PR.com)-- Deflation will soon take hold of the U.S. economy, according to a free report now available from Robert Prechter and Elliott Wave International. Because of the tremendous, unprecedented build-up in credit, the deflationary outlook is grim. Prechter's new, 90-page Deflation Survival Guide reveals the truth about inflation, deflation and hyperinflation and which is the most imminent threat to your assets right now.

Prechter, one of the world's leading proponents of the deflationary scenario, warns that the global economy will be hit by a deflationary spiral that will wreck havoc on all aspects of the economy and financial system. "The biggest event that the history books will record is not the jumps in investment markets from 2003 to 2006, but the across-the-board collapse that is about to follow." His advice: "Cash is going to be king, so make sure you have some."

Deflation results in falling prices due to a rare contraction in the money supply. In the coming years, the effects will be felt across the board. According to the report, banks and insurance companies will fail, mutual funds, stock portfolios, bond portfolios and other forms of investments people think they own will disappear. However, Prechter says deflation doesn't have to be something to fear. Those who anticipate it and prepare for it can thrive in an environment that combines falling prices and rising value of the dollar.

While most financial analysts and news reporters are focused on the inflation vs. deflation debate and the Fed's attempts to curb deflation, this revealing report shows how the Fed's efforts could ironically serve to aggravate deflation, not relieve it.

"As far as I can tell, Elliott Wave International is the only firm that houses analysts warning of an inevitable, full-scale, economically devastating deflation. You can bet that when it is in full swing, dozens or hundreds of commentators will claim that they warned of deflation, and our voice will be lost in the clamor."

Now is the time to access EWI's wealth of free resources on deflation, including the just updated Understanding Deflation eBook to find out how you can protect your assets in the coming deflationary depression. It's free to download at the following URL: http://www.deflationeconomy.com

###

Elliott Wave International (EWI) is based in Gainesville, Ga., EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm that specializes in Elliott wave analysis, a form of technical analysis based on crowd psychology and pattern recognition. EWI's analysts provide around-the-clock forecasts of every major market in the world. Learn more

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FREE 90 page DOWNLOAD-DEFLATION EBOOK




How Obama Thinks - Dinesh D'Souza - Forbes


The American Republic will endure until the day congress discovers that it can bribe the public with the public's money.

Alexis de Tocqueville


Summer of No Recovery-full article with graphs
Deflation: First Step, Understand It There is still time to prepare if deflation is indeed in our future. August 16, 2010 By Elliott Wave International "Fed's Bullard Raises Specter of Japanese-Style Deflation," read a July 29 Washington Post headline.

When the St. Louis Fed Chief speaks, people listen. Now that deflation -- something that EWI's president Robert Prechter has been warning about for several years -- is making mainstream news headlines, is it too late to prepare?

It's not too late.

There are still steps you can take if deflation is indeed in our future. The first step is to understand what it is. So we've put together a special, free, 90-page Club EWI resource, "The Guide to Understanding Deflation: Robert Prechter’s most important warnings about deflation." Enjoy this quick excerpt. (For details on how to read this important report free, look below.)

When Does Deflation Occur? By Robert Prechter

To understand inflation and deflation, we have to understand the terms money and credit.

Money is a socially accepted medium of exchange, value storage and final payment; credit may be summarized as a right to access money. In today’s economy, most credit is lent, so people often use the terms "credit" and "debt" interchangeably, as money lent by one entity is simultaneously money borrowed by another.

Deflation requires a precondition: a major societal buildup in the extension of credit (and its flip side, the assumption of debt). Austrian economists Ludwig von Mises and Friedrich Hayek warned of the consequences of credit expansion, as have a handful of other economists, who today are mostly ignored. Bank credit and Elliott wave expert Hamilton Bolton, in a 1957 letter, summarized his observations this way:

In reading a history of major depressions in the U.S. from 1830 on, I was impressed with the following: (a) All were set off by a deflation of excess credit. This was the one factor in common. (b) Sometimes the excess-of-credit situation seemed to last years before the bubble broke. (c) Some outside event, such as a major failure, brought the thing to a head, but the signs were visible many months, and in some cases years, in advance. (d) None was ever quite like the last, so that the public was always fooled thereby. (e) Some panics occurred under great government surpluses of revenue (1837, for instance) and some under great government deficits.

Near the end of a major expansion, few creditors expect default, which is why they lend freely to weak borrowers. Few borrowers expect their fortunes to change, which is why they borrow freely. The psychological aspect of deflation and depression cannot be overstated. ...

Read the rest of this important 90-page Robert Prechter's report online now, free! Here's what else you'll learn:

What Makes Deflation Likely Today? How Big a Deflation? Why Falling Interest Rates in This Environment Will Be Bearish Myth: "Deflation Will Cause a Run on the Dollar, Which Will Make Prices Rise" Myth: "Debt Is Not as High as It Seems" Myth: "War Will Bail Out the Economy" Myth: "The Fed Will Stop Deflation"

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